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House Prices Most Affordable Since '70s?
Discounting the possibility that the air will soon come
out of rising house prices, the chief economist at Standard & Poor's
has told a National Association of Home Builders conference that prices
are not out of whack, but more affordable than at any time since the early
1970s. "Costs are rising with incomes, which is what they're supposed
to do," David Wyss said at the NAHB's Construction Forecast
Conference. He pointed out that the average price of existing homes is now
2.6 times average household income, about the same as in most of the
1990s. "In the late '70s, the ratio was over 3.0 times -- that's a
bubble," he said. "But now, the ratio's about as flat as it can
be." While some have expressed concerns about rising mortgage debt,
the economist said that because of today's relatively low mortgage rates,
Americans are rushing to buy because it's cheaper to own than rent.
"That's what you're supposed to use debt for, so your balance sheet
improves," he said. Mr. Wyss is more concerned that today's owners
are more highly leveraged than their predecessors, largely as a result of
the most recent refinancing binge.
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